Friday, March 13, 2009

NCAA Tournament Bracket Projections -- March 13, 2009

Win & Lock Up A Bid
Minnesota (v. Michigan State)
Virginia Tech (v. North Carolina)
Wisconsin (v. Ohio State)
Michigan (v. Illinois)
Maryland (v. Wake Forest)

New Locks
Boston College, Oklahoma State, Penn State

Who Slid One Seed Line Due to Seeding Conflicts?
Marquette, Michigan

Who Benefited by One Seed Line Due to Seeding Conflicts?
Texas, Siena

If you have questions, comments, uninhibited hatred, or think I really need some sleep, shoot me a line at phashemi@gmail.com.

The Seedings
1: North Carolina (ACC), Pittsburgh, Louisville (Big East), Michigan State (Big Ten)
2: UConn, Wake Forest, Duke, Memphis (C-USA)
3: Villanova, Oklahoma, Kansas, Washington (PAC 10)
4: Syracuse, Florida State, Xavier (A-10), Missouri (Big XII)
5: GONZAGA (WCC), UCLA, Illinois, Texas
6: Clemson, Marquette, Arizona State, Butler
7: Tennessee (SEC), West Virginia, California, Purdue
8: Utah, BYU (MWC), Boston College, LSU
9: Oklahoma State, Penn State, Dayton, SIENA (Metro Atlantic)
10: WESTERN KENTUCKY (Sun Belt), Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin
11: Creighton, St. Mary’s, Ohio State, Texas A&M
12: Utah St. (WAC), VCU (CAA), Auburn, CLEVELAND STATE (HORIZON)
13: Arizona, NORTHERN IOWA (MVC), American (Patriot), Buffalo (MAC)
14: Binghamton (America East), Stephen F. Austin (Southland), NORTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit), PORTLAND STATE (Big Sky)
15: Robert Morris (Northeast), E. TENNESSEE STATE (Atlantic Sun), CORNELL (Ivy), RADFORD(Big South)
16: Long Beach State (Big West), Morgan State (MEAC), MOREHEAD STATE (Ohio Valley), CHATTANOOGA (Southern), Alabama State (SWAC)

IN: Auburn
OUT: UNLV

Last Four In: St. Mary’s, Ohio State, Auburn, Arizona
Last Four Out: South Carolina, San Diego State, Kansas State, Virginia Tech
Next Four Out: Maryland, Temple, New Mexico, Providence
Next Four Out: Florida, Tulsa, USC, Baylor


No Longer Under Consideration: New Mexico, Providence, Notre Dame, Miami-FL, Davidson, Rhode Island, Northwestern

Seeding Summary (Multi-Bid Conferences Only in Order of Percentage)
Big Ten: 8/11
ACC: 6/12
Pac-10: 4/10
Big East: 7/16
Big XII: 6/12
SEC: 3/12
Mountain West: 2/9
West Coast: 2/9
Horizon: 2/10
MVC: 2/10
A-10: 2/14

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

With Maryland's win, who's out?

Joe Lunardi said...

At 915pm, Joe Lunardi reports that 16 teams are vying for 5 teams.

Thoughts?

Cats Fan said...

What needs to happen between now and 6pm on Sunday for Arizona to make the field?

Paymon said...

Quick hits to an e-mail, a talking head, and a text ...

As of 925pm, Maryland is in (and safe) and Arizona is out. The Wildcats can find themselves back into the field if a team above them either loses or does not show enough. However, with Temple, Tulsa and Baylor having a chance to steal a bid, that makes the bubbly waters that much more murky.

On Lunardi's statement, I think there are more than 5 bids available. As of right now, no team beneath Oklahoma State is "safe" yet (except Maryland, who is in).

As a side note, I am amazed that it is still possible for the Big Ten to have 8 bids.

Anonymous said...

Why do you hate the SEC so much? 3 teams in the field. You didn't even have South Carolina in (although you look smart AFTER the fact) and Florida isn't even in your Next Four Out.

jeff r said...

If my Aggies weren't screwed on Wednesday, they're screwed now.

I assume Baylor can only get in with a win tomorrow. If they do, do they claim what you have as A&M's spot?