It has been a long time since I had an opportunity to do a set of projections (and predictions), so I have taken advantage of this extended holiday period. As expected,
Because we use the projection/prediction model, there are some picks that are off putting to say the least.
The other is USC among the last four. The Trojans have done exactly squadoosh to justify an at-large bid. Nevertheless, USC storms and norms until mid-January under Tim Floyd. Because of attrition related to recruiting practices (i.e. possessing an utter willingness to take on one-year players), it takes a while for his new players to learn how to defend well. That said, do not be surprised if they come out as the #3 team out of the PAC 10.
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2: Duke (ACC),
3: Gonzaga (WCC), Notre Dame, Purdue (Big Ten),
6: Villanova, Davidson, Xavier (A-10),
7: Miami-FL, Baylor,
8: St. Mary’s, UNLV (Mountain West),
9: Creighton (MVC),
13: VCU (CAA),
15: American (Patriot), Cornell (Ivy),
16: Pacific (Big West), Hampton (MEAC),
Last Four In:
Last Four Out:
Next Four Out:
Seeding Summary (Multi-Bid Conferences Only in Order of Percentage)
Big Ten: 7/11
Big East: 9/16
Big XII: 5/12
West Coast: 2/8
Mountain West: 2/9