Sunday, September 16, 2007

Randy Moss, Master of the Debut

Source: MSNBC

Last Sunday, Randy Moss raised eyebrows after his 9-catch, 183-yard performance at The Meadowlands against the New York Jets. While detractors believe Moss has shown signs of slowing down throughout the years, others feel strongly that his move to Foxboro has rejuvenated his career.

Fantasy football managers and regular fans of football have wondered whether Moss’s performance last Sunday was the start of a trend or a mirage buoyed by strong debuts with new teams.

This will not answer that burning question, but it does reveal his success in opening games with his new team.

Year

Opponent

Receptions

Yards

Touchdowns

1998

vs. Tampa Bay

4

95

2

2005

@ New England

5

130

1

2007

@ New York (Jets)

9

183

1

Source: Pro Football Reference

Though the sample size of three games is nowhere close to generalizable by rigorous scientific standards, Moss has averaged 6.0 receptions, 136 yards and 1.3 TDs per game in his debuts with new teams. This compares favorably to his overall per game career statistics of 4.9 receptions, 78.3 yards and 0.7 TDs.

Take it for what it’s worth, but fans of Moss should not get used to 150-yard performances on a regular basis.

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