Tuesday, April 10, 2007

2007 NFL Mock Draft 2.0
by: Armin Mohajeri

Version 2.0 is here, and surprisingly there weren't many significant changes. At this point, trade rumors and smokescreens throw a wrench into any mock draft. As many as eight teams are rumored to want to either trade up or down. Don't forget the all important wild card, the Draft Strategies that teams employ. Once again, we start with Jamarcus Russell, but from there, the game begins.

1. Oakland: Jamarcus Russell, QB - LSU
Currently the unquestioned #1 pick of this draft. Oakland would be smart to get a contract in place before the draft.

2. Detroit: Joe Thomas, OT - Wisconsin
Look for a team to trade into this position for Joe Thomas. Atlanta or Tampa could trade up to land Calvin Johnson.

3. Cleveland: Brady Quinn, QB - Notre Dame
Quinn goes to the team that he claims he wants to go to. Surprisingly, I don't see him beating out Charlie Frye in training camp and the preseason. However, that means Frye is either benched unfairly, or he's dealt elsewhere.

4. Tampa Bay: Calvin Johnson, WR - Georgia Tech
Tampa could move up to #2 to guarantee landing Calvin Johnson. He fills a need for Tampa as their WR corps are either old or ineffective.

5. Arizona: Gaines Adams, DE - Clemson
Cards land another Simeon Rice. Bert Berry has health concerns, and Chike Okaefor showed that he didn't deserve the free agent contract he got. Adams should breathe some life into the Cards pass rush.

6. Washington: LaRon Landry, S - LSU
Expect Washington to trade out of this pick, especially if Houston wants to jump ahead of Atlanta for Landry, or San Fran wants to land Branch. Washington doesn't want to give a huge contract to a rookie. With Archuleta gone, and Omar Stoutmire penciled in as the starter, The Danny opts to overlook the D-Line for a monster safety.

7. Minnesota: Jamaal Anderson, DE - Arkansas
Lack of production and injuries to their current DEs makes this a need pick. However the team could benefit more by trading down and nabbing either a WR or CB, as it's too early to reach for those positions at this pick.

8. Atlanta (from Houston): Levi Brown, OT - Penn St.
Wayne Gandy is 36 and if the team plans to focus on Vick as the present and future QB, they need a seamless transition on the offensive line. With Vick being a lefty, Brown could pull a switch with Weiner too.

9. Miami: Alan Branch, DT - Michigan
Branch fills a huge hole, as Keith Traylor is very old, and Vonnie Holiday needs someone next to him that can take on double-teams.

10. Houston (from Atlanta): Adrian Peterson, RB - Oklahoma
Ahman Green is on the downside of his career. He was signed as a stop-gap. However the Texans didn't think they'd land Peterson at the 10th pick.

11. San Francisco: Amobi Okoye, DT - Louisville
The San Fran Defense is coming together nicely, on paper. They have a solid young core, and add to that with Okoye, who is 19.

12. Buffalo: Patrick Willis, LB - Mississippi
An incredible athlete and a fearless leader. Willis will fill in where Fletcher-Baker left off, and will probably do better.

13. St. Louis: Adam Carriker, DE - Nebraska
A need pick, but not as much of a reach as some would make it out to be. The Rams need help on the D-Line. Carriker can play all along the St. Louis D-Line and will contribute as a rookie.

14. Carolina: Greg Olsen, TE - Miami
This seems to be a definite pick here. The team could consider Reggie Nelson. No need for them to reach for a WR this year.

15. Pittsburgh: Leon Hall, CB - Michigan
While the team is deep at CB on paper, overall the position has been a disappointment. Hall brings a physical style that the Steelers were hoping for out of Ike Taylor.

16. Green Bay: Marshawn Lynch, RB - California
While the pick is a slight reach, Lynch fills a big hole on the team. They could probably trade down with a team that wants to jump ahead of Jacksonville for Nelson, and still get Lynch.

17. Jacksonville: Reggie Nelson, S - Florida
Nelson will give Donavin Darius more freedom than he's had in the past. Nelson is a cover guy who has the speed and athletic ability to be left alone in centerfield.

18. Cincinnati: Jon Beason, LB - Miami
Beason could take over on the strong side from day one. Don't rule out a CB with talk of Deltha O'Neal being dealt on draft day.

19. Tennessee: Robert Meachem, WR - Tennessee
Meachem not only gives Vince Young a big target, but he can stretch the field with his 4.3 speed.

20. New York Giants: Darrelle Revis, CB - Pittsburgh
As much as they invested in the DBs last year, they still need help there. Revis can eventually team with Webster as a strong young tandem at CB.

21. Denver: Jarvis Moss, DE - Florida
Dumervil and Moss can generate a nice pass rush for the Broncos. Other than what Dumervil did in limited time, the Broncos D-Line has no true pass rush.

22. Dallas: Teddy Ginn, Jr., WR - Ohio St.
The Cowboys bring in an Ohio State guy to eventually replace and Ohio State guy (Terry Glenn). Ginn also brings sprinter speed to the slot position for the Cowboys. He could play a key role in opening up that offense.

23. Kansas City: Dwayne Bowe, WR - LSU
Bowe gives the team a big target with some speed. With the Brodie Croyle Experiment in full effect, they need to surround him with talent.

24. New England (from Seattle): Paul Posluszny, LB - Penn St.
Bruschi's successor at ILB and eventually as leader of that defense.

25. New York Jets: Chris Houston, CB - Arkansas
The Jets had to reach deep into their CB cupboard last season. Adding Houston makes sense, but don't rule out Joe Staley if he's available. A young athletic bookend to Ferguson would be nice.

26. Philadelphia: Michael Griffen, S - Texas
Michael Lewis out, Michael Griffen in. Griffen should easily replace Lewis, who was ineffective last year.

27. New Orleans: Aaron Ross, CB - Texas
Ross brings some much needed youth and athleticism to the Saints CB corps.

28. New England: Brian Leonard, RB - Rutgers
He can play all over the field on offense. He'll back up Maroney. He'll block for Maroney. He'll play TE and H-back. A Patriots "team-first" kind of guy who took a backseat in college and changed positions for the good of his team.

29. Baltimore: Ryan Kalil, C - USC
Kalil was too enticing to pass up. With Billick admitting that they need youth along the offensive line, other options go out the window. Baltimore is a deep team, except along the O-Line. Staley could be an option too.

30. San Diego: Dwayne Jarrett, WR - USC
Jarrett gets to stay in Southern California. He gives Rivers another big target to go with Gates and Jackson.

31. Chicago: Joe Staley, OT - Central Michigan
He will eventually unseat either Tait or Miller. One of the most athletic linemen to grace the draft.

32. Indianapolis: Lawrence Timmons, LB - Florida St.
Colts have huge holes to fill at OLB. This is a bit of a steal, as Timmons grades out high. However, teams with needs at LB have bigger holes elsewhere.

(If you would like access to the 2nd and 3rd round of my mock draft, please email me at armin.mohajeri@gmail.com)


Anonymous said...

How does the Pacman suspension affect the Titans draft strategy?

Armin said...

Great question. Pacman's suspension, and possible termination from the team, open a hole in the Titans secondary. At the very least, one of the following, Darrelle Revis, Chris Houston and Aaron Ross, will be available at their pick. It's not a hard decision for them to make. However for me it is. Robert Meachem is one of my personal favorites going into this draft. I really like this kid, and think he can do a lot for the team that drafts him.

It will be interesting to see if the Titans try to address the CB situation before the draft. Off the top of my head, the Redskins are looking to move Shawn Springs and his salary, and may be willing to take a low round draft pick in return. Nick Harper and Reynaldo Hill can hold their own, but an upgrade over Finnegan, King, Waddell and Woolfolk is definitely in order if they choose to go after a 3rd CB candidate.