Monday, January 29, 2007

NCAA Tournament Projections – Version 3.0

The tournament projections return after two weeks worth of further conference assimilation. Alabama and Tennessee surely cannot be fans of Vanderbilt and Georgia’s unexpected ascendancy, yet they join the Commodores and Dawgs at the tail of the bracket.

The Missouri Valley continues to demonstrate parity; however, Southern Illinois and Creighton have pulled away [a bit] from the pack with 8-3 conference records. Meanwhile, the Big Ten continues to be top-heavy, the Big XII remains full of question marks, and the Big East seems mediocre at best. And don’t look now, because Coach K is talking to the referees to not only make sure that it’s okay for David McClure to get away with goaltending, but to also add too much time to the clock en route to a buzzer beater. Both happened and Duke defeated a stingy Clemson team, who might just go into a tailspin after letting Virginia rattle off the final 15 points in their home loss on Sunday.

Out west, Oregon reluctantly pulled off a Northwest split as they needed two Maarty Leunen free throws with under a second remaining to force the extra session at Washington State. After reeling off the first ten points in overtime, the Ducks barely hung on to win by 3. In Tucson, Arizona’s woeful January culminated in a 92-64 loss at the hands of North Carolina, who were themselves without three players in their normal rotation. They come in this week as the lowest 5-seed, needing strong performances in order to force their way back into the Power 16.

Seed

East

South

Midwest

West

1

North Carolina

Florida

Wisconsin

UCLA

2

Kansas

Pittsburgh

Oregon

Ohio St.

3

Marquette

Texas A&M

Duke

Memphis

4

Kentucky

USC

Southern Illinois

Virginia Tech

5

Arizona

Indiana

Oklahoma St.

Air Force

6

Nevada

Butler

Vanderbilt

Arkansas

7

Michigan St.

Clemson

Creighton

Washington St.

8

Notre Dame

Gonzaga

Stanford

Texas Tech

9

Missouri St.

Virginia

Georgetown

Northern Iowa

10

VCU

Georgia

Texas

Boston College

11

UNLV

New Mexico St.

Xavier

Villanova

12

Appalachian St.

Winthrop

Alabama

Syracuse

13

Holy Cross

Akron

Florida St.

Tennessee

14

Pennsylvania

Texas A&M – Corpus Christi

Oral Roberts

Western Kentucky

15

Vermont

E. Tennessee St.

Marist

Cal St. Fullerton

16

Delaware St.

Jackson St./Central Connecticut St.

Austin Peay

Weber St.

Last Four In: Alabama, Syracuse, Florida St., Tennessee
Last Four Out: Bradley, Kansas St., West Virginia, BYU
Next Four Out: Hofstra, Maryland, Louisville, Georgia Tech

Summary:
ACC: 7
SEC: 7
Big East: 6
PAC-10: 6
Big 12: 5
Big Ten: 4
Missouri Valley: 4
Mountain West: 2
Western Athletic: 2

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