NCAA Tournament Projections – Version 2.0

In this latest edition of the NCAA Tournament Projections, Wisconsin enters the world of the one seeds, joining UCLA, Florida, and UNC – who lost to Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. Kansas is quietly getting its feet on the ground while Oregon is making waves out west, defeating UCLA and then winning at Arizona.

In the world of the mid-majors, Butler loses a conference game, allowing the way for Wright State to take the automatic bid. Gonzaga’s trip home after the drubbing at the hands of Virginia marks some time to just stay on the west coast. The Colonial Athletic Association is now a four-horse race, with Drexel dropping two games in three days.

Meanwhile, the Pac-10 continues to impress me, padding its external validity (80.4 win %) with internal validity (Oregon winning at Arizona, Washington State winning at USC, and so on). In other news, Stanford replaces a floundering Washington team as the conference’s sixth entry.

Seed	East	South	Midwest	West
1	UNC	Florida	Wisconsin	UCLA
2	Pittsburgh	Arizona	Oregon	Kansas
3	Alabama	Air Force	Texas A&M	Ohio St.
4	Washington St.	Oklahoma St.	Kentucky	Duke
5	Southern Illinois	Indiana	Clemson	Nevada
6	USC	Memphis	Butler	Missouri St.
7	Boston College	Notre Dame	Creighton	Tennessee
8	Texas	Virginia Tech	Marquette	LSU
9	Michigan St.	Northern Iowa	Gonzaga	Syracuse
10	Texas Tech	Davidson	Arkansas	UNLV
11	Western Kentucky	Maryland	Georgia Tech	Stanford
12	Virginia Commonwealth	Winthrop	Drexel	Massachusetts
13	Pennsylvania	Holy Cross	Appalachian St.	New Mexico St.
14	Vermont	Siena	Toledo	Idaho St.
15	Delaware St.	Stephen F. Austin	Wright St.	Oral Roberts
16	Belmont	Jackson St. or Sacred Heart	Samford	Cal St. Fullerton

Last Four In: Maryland, Drexel, New Mexico St., Appalachian St.
Last Four Out: Old Dominion, West Virginia, Xavier, Kansas St.
Next Four Out: Purdue, Georgetown, Wichita St., Michigan

Summary
ACC: 7
PAC-10: 6
SEC: 6
Big 12: 5
Big East: 4
Big Ten: 4
Missouri Valley: 4
Colonial: 2
Horizon: 2
Mountain West: 2
Southern: 2
Western Athletic: 2