Friday, November 16, 2007

Clement’s Weekly Picks and Prognostications…Week 11

A few notes for this weekend’s professional and collegiate matchups.
A) College football will start to lock in its first BCS participants (namely the winner of Ohio State and Michigan).
B) The Heisman race has to heat up this weekend … or it won’t at all.

C) The Big East and ACC have legit showdown games this weekend.

D) Tom Brady and the Patriots aim for 10-0 while Cleo Lemon and the Fins try and avoid 0-10.

E) The Colts will try their best to stay healthy.

F) Life without Adrian Peterson, at least for one week, begins in Minnesota.

So with all that in mind, plus the other random ramblings, we have this week’s picks and fantasy “advice” to dispense…

NFL Picks: [15-12-1]
New Orleans @ Houston [-1.5]

Credit: Yahoo! Sports

Not sure what Houston did to earn this spread, but we do know the Saints lost at home to the then-winless Rams. Although Stephen Jackson did play the entire game for the first time this season. While the Texans are much better at home, the Saints will rebound this week, mainly via their overall team speed, and return to .500 with a victory.

San Diego @ Jacksonville [-3]

Credit: Yahoo! Sports

So it seems I’m taking all the road dogs, as I did poorly in 2006, right? Nope. Jacksonville, with or without Garrard, has a solid 1-2-3 punch in the backfield that it will use to pound the Chargers. Team that with a staunch secondary and Phillip Rivers stinkin’ up the joint, and I have the Jags covering, barely.

Chicago @ Seattle [-5.5]

Credit: Yahoo! Sports

Whether Rex Grossman or Brian Griese plays is irrelevant. Both turn over the ball too readily and neither are strong road QBs this season. Seattle can possibly go 7-9 and make the playoffs this season. However, they won’t. Matt Hasselbeck is healthy, even if Shaun Alexander isn’t, and the Hawks are typically a safe bet at home.

NCAA Picks: [10-5]
West Virginia @ Cincinnati [+6]

Credit: Yahoo! Sports

WVU is the sole Big East team with legitimate BCS title hopes. While they require a TON of help, Steps 1a and 1b have to be convincing back-to-back victories over Cincinnati and UConn. While that sounds ironic when it comes to Big East supremacy and a BCS-game bid, Pat White will stay on the field long enough to guide the Mountaineers to a hard fought, double-digit road victory.

Boston College @ Clemson [-8.5]

Credit: Yahoo Sports!

With Tech and UVA likely squaring off for the other half of the ACC, this showdown pits a struggling BC squad against an uncharacteristically stable Clemson squad. So much for that, at least spread-wise. Matt Ryan and the Eagles rebound.

Michigan @ Ohio State [-4]

Credit: Yahoo! Sports

Jim Tressel and Lloyd Carr knew before last week that this weekend’s matchup would be for the Big Ten title. However, the Buckeyes didn’t think it’d also be to play in the Rose Bowl (instead of the BCS Title game). With Mike Hart banged up and Coach Tressel on the sideline, pick the Buckeyes to cover and be the first team to enter the BCS.

3 Must Starts and Must Sits
...Last Week…
Marc Bulger: Not only did the Rams gain their first win, Bulger reminded a few patient fantasy owners about his potential.

Brandon Stokley: Well, you see. The thing about it was…

Kurt Warner: Not too shabby, even with Rattay tossing a TD of his own.

...This Week…
Chester Taylor: The matchup isn’t amazing, but he’ll rack up plenty of rushes and receptions this week.
Ryan Grant: Start him against a softening Panthers defense.
Brandon Jones: Remember the last time Dre’ Bly saw a wide receiver on Monday Night Football?

…Last Week…
Vince Young: Outside of the passing yards, he is becoming a liability. 4 TDs to 10 INTs. Yuck.

Fred Taylor: The rushing TD allowed him to have a rather solid day.
Tom Brady: Wonder how many TDs he’ll throw on Sunday night against Buffalo...

...This Week…
Patrick Crayton: Witten and TO will see the lion’s share of the looks this weekend.
Nate Burleson: He’s been a 50/50 start with bye weeks. Not any longer.
Kevin Jones: After the Cards exposed them, look for the Giants to put an extra man in the box to shutdown KJ.

Until next time…

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