Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Summer League Storylines

As the Vegas summer league starts to get more and more press, an important question has begun to linger more and more: is the Vegas summer league a reliable method for evaluating NBA talent?

Remember we're talking four total leagues too. Although Vegas & Orlando seem to get the most hype these days.

Of course, as is usually the case…the answer is both yes and no.

Amare Stoudemire first blew up during summer league games.
So did Nikoloz Tskitishvili though.
Von Wafer plays like an NBA starter most summers.
Marco Belinelli is as efficient as they come in his first minutes on American hardwood.
Even Marcus Banks put up 42 points in a game this summer.
Greg Oden committed 19 fouls in 2 games.
Anthony Roberson may have resurrected his basketball career this summer, I think.

All interesting sentiments. In fact, there’s a countless assortment of them to try and decipher and decode.

The real point is: the summer league often provides both youthful underachievers and aging underachievers an opportunity to display their talents, for better or worse.

Well, sort of.

So here are a dozen Summer League Storylines that you might even want to take a peak at, if only for a moment or two…

1) Is Randy Foye this year’s sophomore stud [aka Deron Williams]?
-Showing more than enough potential down the stretch last season, Foye has been rather impressive during the opening stretch in Vegas. While his team is far less structured than Utah a season ago, Foye could easily step up into a more prominent role within the Timberwolves starting rotation.

2) Can Glen Davis help bring respectability back to the Celtics frontline?
-Jumping up more than a few draft boards, ‘Big Baby’ may not turn out to be another Robert ‘Tractor’ Traylor after all. In fact, he may be much more effective in using his size and relatively steady foot speed. While lining him up next to Al Jefferson and Kendrick Perkins won’t remind you of Parrish/McHale, Big Baby could see 15-20 minutes a game a few months into the season.

3) Which of the two previous 1st-round pick point guards will be starting for the Lakers in their opener?
-Don’t sleep on how much Phil Jackson hates small point guards (sorry BJ Armstrong). Crittenton is reminding a lot of people of a young Ron Harper. While he may not sky to the hoop like Ron Harper at 23, Harper at 33 would be more than enough for the Lake-show.

4) Will DJ Strawberry or Alando Tucker be added into Phoenix’s rotation?
-Not right away; yet, it should happen eventually. Remember that Grant Hill is now there, Shawn Marion didn’t leave, and Kurt Thomas isn’t likely to be traded anymore. With that being said, Tucker’s shooting ability gives him the slight edge. The real question is whether injuries beset the Suns or perhaps one of these guys can show added muscle or defensive prowess.

5) With Kevin Durant & Jeff Green likely starting Day One, will Seattle struggle mightily to win 20 games this season?
-They’ll both start and the team will SUCK (and I didn’t mean to say stink). In fact, after viewing their potential starting lineup, point guard Luke Ridnour may be the only guy who should be starting from Day One on an NBA team this upcoming season. Their center position is an impending disaster (Robert Swift doesn’t equal a monster and Sene is going to keep getting people fired) and they’re going to look to two undersized rookies, physically at least, to carry the load. It’s likely the Sonics will be drafting very very early in the lottery next season.

6) Will Amir Johnson have a Jason Maxiell type entrance into the Pistons rotation?
-Johnson looks ready to ink a 3-year/$10-million deal with Detroit-basketball. While some of you may scoff at such a deal for a guy who gets limited minutes, remember C-Web is far from guaranteed to be returning and the Pistons learned last season that McDyess & Rasheed are far less reliable than previously anticipated. Not to mention that last year’s surprise Maxiell, despite strong reviews, was exposed by LeBron as having terrible adjustment and reaction speed.

7) How many minutes has Aaron Brooks earned with his stellar summer play thus far?
-One of the MVP candidates of the summer league thus far, Brooks still has a lot to look up at on the depth chart. Mike James is back in Houston, Rafer Alston is already there, and some guy named Luther Head is a third-year veteran who has been relatively productive in limited minutes. In fact, Head may be the guy to watch in Houston this year. Nevertheless, Brooks, thus far, doesn’t seem to be the extreme reach some had him pegged as only a few weeks ago.

8) Will Sebastian Telfair be a Boston Celtic next year? Or even in the NBA?
-I’m leaving this one up to the gods. Honestly, there’s no telling what’s going on. Fortunately for his case, Rajon Rando hasn’t exactly been unstoppable as of late. With Delonte West gone, something tells me Gabe Pruitt may not be enough to keep Sebass off of the court for very long.

9) Did you know that Maceo Baston is still playing?
-Seriously? Did you have any idea? He even got offered a 2-year contract!?!?

10) What are the Blazers planning to do with Taurean Green?
-Steve Blake is back, Sergio Rodriguez has struggled in the NBA-style (especially defensively), and Jarrett Jack is clearly Nate McMillan’s choice for point guard. So what does that mean for the underrated Gator? He deserves to be traded. This guy may be pretty small, but he has the game to be a Charlie Bell-type backup point guard. Pay and I thought he'd be a good fit for the Knicks, but the play of Nate Robinson has to rule that out (even though he's not a true point, he might've earned 5-10 extra mins. a game with his stellar summer performance).

11) Is Mike Conley Jr. likely going to start the season on the bench?
-Short and sweet answer….yes. Kyle Lowry impressed down the stretch and Conley needs a lot of work on his perimeter. Just suck this year and draft Batum next season. Listen to me!

12) Can Reggie Theus be the needed adrenaline boost for Francisco Garcia?
-While his former assistant coach can offer him plenty of motivation, the Kings are such a mess now (Bibby & Artest situations) that it may not even matter if Garcia can improve during the summer session. His battle with “High Times” Quincy Douby may be all Kings fans have to look forward to this off-season. That and Yi’s demands to be traded to Sac-Town.

As is typically the case, there’s plenty more to talk about. In fact, I’ll probably have to return to this very topic for a variety of issues (Yi’s game translating into the American-style of play, is Louis Williams a potential PG for the future in Philly, and what happened to Derrick Byars over the off-season) to dwell upon.

All that and more, until next time…

Monday, July 16, 2007

Thoughts on NBA Summer League and more Free Agency Opinion

SUMMER LEAGUE
First, let's talk about the Summer League. You have to give props to the NBA and its hyping of young talent via the use of its network, NBA TV. Throughout the day and in the evening, the NBA pulls in ardent fans of college basketball who can now easily check out many of their favorite players who have moved onto the next level. Of course, there are positive and negative externalities attached to the easier access to the Summer League.

With respect to the actual summer league, here are a few quick hits:
* Greg Oden and Kevin Durant fared respectably but both struggled. Oden, who only played two games due to tonsilitis, amassed a total of 19 fouls. As for Durant, he definitely knows how to score, but must improve his shot selection based on his awful shooting percentage.

* To steal a line from our football guru Armin Mohajeri, "you heard it here, first". I thought my hometown Wizards were idiots for passing up on the guy and my thoughts were confirmed during the Summer League when 2007-2008 Rookie of the Year runner-up (Durant is winning this barring injury because he has no one else on his team) when Marco Belinelli tore it up.

* Sticking with the Wizards, Dominic McGuire, will likely earn a roster spot following his solid performances.

* The story for the Knicks summer league is not Nate Robinson, who is the Summer League MVP. It's forward Brian Greene, who did quite well for himself, picking up loose balls, hustling, and finishing strong. He has placed himself in a position to either be signed by the Knicks or find himself on the roster of a high-level European team.

* Aaron Brooks dominated for the Rockets at the summer league and might take Rafer Alston closer to the bench for Rick Adelman.

* On draft night, we learned that Yi Jianlian's name was pronounced "E". Elongate that pronunciation and that sums up his sub-par Summer League performance.

FREE AGENCY
* Charlotte has $75M locked up at the shooting guard position between ::drumroll:: Jason Richardson and Matt Carroll. Being that the Bobcats doled out another $57M over six years to do-everything forward Gerald Wallace, this has to endanger the possibility of re-signing both Felton and Okafor, which would be a tragedy.

* Why??? That's the question I consistently get from my friend Damien who's an avid Bulls fan. He asked this question when they drafted Noah and included a few choice words when I informed him of the $38M over 5 years handed out to Andres Nocioni. As for the Joe Smith, this jury is still out until I get the number on the two-year deal. Smith provides inside scoring at the 4-position which the Bulls get from absolutely no one who's currently on the roster.

* While I have respect for the Magic front office for the way they cleaned house following the selection of Dwight Howard, signing Rashard Lewis to an astronomical contract and withdrawing the qualifying offer for Darko Milicic was downright tragic. As it turns out, the Magic receive no compensation for Darko, who signed a very economical 3-year, $21M deal with the new-look Grizzlies.

* Luke Walton gets $6M per year to be the third or fourth option. I'm hating these contracts.

* Mo Williams has re-upped with the Bucks with a 6-year, $52M contract. Apparently, Milwaukee wants a scoring point guard who is lax on defense and has a propensity to commit turnovers. I could find many of those for under 9 million clams a year.

*Getting MoPete for 4 years at less than $6M per year in this market is quite the bargain. However, going to New Orleans may not be the best career choice. Another great shooter at CP3's disposal never hurts.

Saturday, July 14, 2007

MLB Questions: Senior Circuit Edition

And we’re back!!!

While we had a lot of fun dissecting the AL around 24 hours ago (now that's turn around!), there’s no reason the same enthusiasm can’t be found as we now lace up out boots and begin to target the National League [aka the senior circuit].

Maybe that wasn’t the best correlation right there.

Nevertheless, drop your DH-woes and sit back, relax, and ponder – alongside me, of course – the burning hot-stove questions (think ESPN uses that exact vernacular enough?) focusing directly, as well as I can possible hope to at least, on the haves and have nots on the other side of the baseball standings.

National League East
New York Mets
[49-40] lead division by 1.5 games
-Once the hottest team in baseball, the Mets are now searching for answers – as quickly as they can attempt to – as their previous stranglehold over the NL East has all but evaporated away. Front and center of their recent woes is the cold-hard truth that Carlos Delgado, Carlos Beltran, and Paul LoDuca have been more than disappointing this season. The pitching staff, with only John Maine reliable as of late, also needs big-time help. The penultimate question is easy, at least for me: Will Pedro, for better or worse, return this season and bring hope to the Mets nation?

Atlanta Braves [48-42] trail 1.5 for division lead & 2 games behind the wild-card leader
-Yep, they’re back. In fact,
Atlanta stands to benefit the most with the recent woes in Shea and the dogfight that has become the NL West (they all can’t keep winning, can they?). While injuries have hurt a bit, guys like Tim Hudson, Brian McCann, and even Chipper have started to step it up. One letdown this season has yet to come around though. Will Andruw Jones escape his putrid performance thus far this season in time for the Braves to avoid coming up just short in the race for the Playoffs?

Philadelphia Phillies [46-44] trail by 3.5 games for the divison lead & 4 behind the wild-card chase
-I’m sorry, but I don’t buy this team. Not for one second, in fact. They have the wrong player leadership, the wrong front office, and definitely the wrong manager to rally the team into legitimate playoff contention. While they might flirt with a serious run, even until the last few weeks of the season, I gotta ask: At what point do the Phillies completely fall out of the playoff race? Something tells me, it’ll be a couple weeks after loss 10,000.

Florida Marlins [43-48] banished from playoff contention
-There they are…the little team that almost could. Despite an MVP-talent in Miguel Cabrera, this franchise has already twice blown up World Series-potential rosters. The money just isn’t in
South Florida for the Marlins to properly re-sign talent. (Or so that’s what their management always has to say.) Despite plenty of young prodigies already littering the roster, even more may be on the way when one question is finally, perhaps, answered: Is the D-Train moving to a new destination soon?

Washington Nationals [37-53] banished from playoff contention
-Considering how deep and talented the division is (and how untalented the majority of their roster truly is), the Nats could honestly be worse. A lot worse, even. I won’t pick on them though. Instead, I’ll ask: Can Dmitri Young keep up this feel-good story and give Nats fans something positive to cling to?

National League Central
Milwaukee Brewers
[49-40] lead division by 3 games
-What once seemed a runaway choice to secure the division title first, especially with Houston & St. Louis ridiculously underachieving, now has Brewers fans more than a little worried. The Brewers obviously haven’t been in this position, that is in first-place with a youthful, yet talented roster, in at least two decades. Can the Brew Crew right their ship in time to return to the land known as the Playoffs?

Chicago Cubs [46-43] trail division leader by 3 games & 3.5 games behind wild-card leader
-A few hours after Carlos Zambrano knocked Michael Barrett’s lights out, the Cubs seemed mere moments away from internal implosion. Fast forward several weeks and the Cubbies, their fans will now blame ME for saying this, are perhaps the most dangerous team lurking outside of the playoff race. There, I said it. I won’t banish them into further exile with any other comments. Well, except for one question. What excuse, justifiable or not, will Cub fans cling to this season when things ultimately go wrong?

St. Louis Cardinals [40-47] trail division leader by 8 games & wild-card leader by 8.5 games
-I think they’re TKO’d. But as the champs, they get a little more leverage than most would in such a situation. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out their main problem: when does this team, if ever this season, finally get healthy?

Pittsburgh Pirates [40-49] banished from playoff contention
-Even with their historic past, is this team currently thought of as anything except the team a skinnier Barry Bonds once played for?

Houston Astros [39-52] banished from playoff contention
-Not even this Astros team can contend for the playoffs. Honestly, is there a bigger disappointment this season that’s somewhat conveniently been swept under the rug of media attention?

Cincinnati Reds [37-53] banished from playoff contention
-Forget the team and its currently plight, or peril I should say, for a moment. Let’s have some fun instead. How many homers would Griffey have had if he’d stayed healthy? As of right now and for a career. You know you wanna at least venture a guess.

National League West
Los Angeles Dodgers
[51-40] lead division by 0.5 games
-Raise your hand if you thought the Dodgers had the best record in the National League. [Hey, you in the back. Put your hand down, please.] While everything seems to be going well, I still spot this team as an easy-out in the first round. Despite being the only team above the 50-win mark, it’s important to mention, especially within the NL West, their playoff ticket is far from scratched. My real question is: what type of performance, and health, will we see from Brad Penny the second half of this season?

San Diego Padres [49-39] trail division lead by 0.5 games & lead wild-card race by 2 games
-Another poll question. [Get your hands ready again, please.] Who has the least losses in the National League? You guessed the Padres? Seriously. You’d be correct. Now nobody has serious doubts concerning the duo of Peavy/Young right now and the backend of that guy named Hoffman. At least not me. However, is Adrian Gonzalez really the guy to carry this team, with his power, through the murky waters of the NL West playoff chase?

Arizona Diamondbacks [48-43] trail division lead by 3 games & wild-card by 2.5 games
-Sorry to hate, but I’m still bitter over their World Series victory over the Yanks. Name five
Arizona Diamondbacks. Go ahead. I’ll even spot you Randy Johnson. In fact, name two other Diamondbacks.

Colorado Rockies [45-44] trail division leader by 5 games & wild-card race by 4.5 games
-Who’s currently hitting .339, 16 homers, 70 RBIs, 57 runs, 30 2Bs, slugging .567, and has an OPS of .965? He’s your darkhorse NL MVP actually. Might be a good idea to get to know him.

San Francisco Giants [38-50] banished from playoff contention
-I won’t even mention the obvious. In fact, I’ll take a much different, and perhaps more appropriate route. Is Barry Zito the worst free agent signing of this past off-season AND is Tim Lincecum the real future ace in San Fran?

I know, that was two questions for the Giants. But neither involved that BALCO-related guy. (I might need to contact my attorney shortly, at least after making that remark.)

So it appears that the NL has been given its due. While it doesn’t often get the pub of the AL, don’t sleep on everything involved in its wicked and wild playoff chase. (Man, I wanted to use wacky too.)

In case you want more definitive storylines, I’ve got your back. Don’t forget about the logjams currently engulfing the NL West, the Braves/Mets/Phils battling in the East, and that team in Chicago currently looming in the Central.

Oh yeah, and some guy is going for 756, too.

All that and more for the next couple months as we push closer to October.

Until next time...

Friday, July 13, 2007

Second Half Questions: MLB-Style

With the second-half of the Major League Baseball season kicking off Thursday night, each league, and its respective teams, has plenty of stories to offer. Surprisingly, Barry’s chase for the record will take a definitive backseat in this article. Instead, it’s time to ask one major question for each of the thirty teams. One that isn’t related to Hank Aaron, steroids, or Bud Selig’s incompetence.

Interestingly enough, you could almost make a case for as many as twenty-one or twenty-two teams still lingering around, at least somewhat realistically, in the playoffs chase. While the seasons already seem long lost in places like Tampa Bay, Washington, and Cincinnati (no surprises in that group either), there’s also plenty of teams that have a lot of important questions lingering into the final stretch of the season.

While it’s more than a little unrealistic to ask what it’ll take for Colorado or the Chi Sox to make a push for the Series, they still matter down the stretch.

One question per team. Let’s get it goin…

we’ll start with the AL today and the senior-circuit tomorrow

American League East
Boston Red Sox
[53-34] 10 game division lead
-Sporting the best winning percentage in all of baseball, the Sox have to wonder: how good can they be if and when David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez turn on the afterburners? With the Yanks 10 back and the pitching staff relatively intact, the Sox appear a safe bet to break the recent
New York stranglehold on AL East division championships.

Toronto Blue Jays [43-44] trail 10 for division & 8.5 for wild-card
-Mere percentage points ahead of the Yanks, the Blue Jays have been as up-and-down as any team in baseball this season. Sporting it’s fair share of veterans, and trade-bait, the Blue Jays fans have to be thinking one thing: is it possible to remain consistent, behind healthy starting pitching, and make a legit late run at a postseason birth? Despite progress in recent weeks, the likely answer is no. (Although major noise could be made with an opening series out of the break with the 1st place Red Sox.)

New York Yankees [42-43] trail for division & 8.5 for wild-card
-The biggest quandary in baseball this season, the Yankees seemed to have righted the ship before a disastrous road-trip beginning with a weekend sweep from the
Rockies. While Clemens and Wang have been stable in recent weeks, the bats have gone cold far too often. Can Joe Torre rally his team of aging veterans just in time to make a dangerous run, or is this the season the Yankees are sellers and not buyers?

Baltimore Orioles [38-49] banished from playoff contention
-Sorry O’s fans, but this year will likely get worse before it gets better. With a rather unique roster, including an overpriced/underperforming bullpen, are the Orioles looking to spend (ala Mark Texiera) or shop (perhaps Miguel Tejada) in the coming weeks?

Tampa Bay Devil Rays [34-53] banished from playoff contention
-With the worst record in baseball, this hopeless situation doesn’t seem to have an answer. While it’s cruel: isn’t contraction a serious option for this “organization”?

American League Central
Detroit Tigers
[52-34] 1 game division lead
-The weekend home sweep of
Boston really boosted this team. Combine that with the unreal play of MVP front-runner Maglio Ordonez, stud pitching, and Gary Sheffield re-born and the Tigers are clearly one of the favorites to represent the AL. But it isn’t a foregone conclusion. In fact, far from it. Can Gary Sheffield remain both healthy and the potent bat in the middle of the lineup that enhances the Detroit lineup to a near lethal factor?

Cleveland Indians [52-36] trail 1 game for division lead & lead wild-card by 1.5 games
-They’ve teased us before. However, they haven’t looked this good at the break in nearly a decade. Despite Hafner performing under his amazing expectations, Sabathia has looked as good as ever. Can the Indians remain in the race despite a scary back-end of the bullpen or is a move necessary to remain an
AL contender?

Minnesota Twins [45-43] trail 8 games for division lead & by 7 for wild-card
-This is often the time they kick it into high octane. Yet,
Cleveland and Detroit haven’t both been this strong before. While Santana is a second-half pitcher and Morneau is creeping back towards MVP numbers again, which team ahead of the Twins, if either of them is most likely to freefall while the Twin City kids rise up?

Chicago White Sox [39-47] banished from playoff contention
-Despite winning the World Series only two season ago, the team seems just too far out of contention (13 in division/12 wild-card) to believe in. While the wisely locked up Burlehe, there have been some rumors that Contreras is on the block. While the team can’t hit any worse, will the White Sox begin reloading for next season by dumping some rather large names, and salaries, in the next month?

Kansas City Royals [38-50] banished from playoff contention
-The season hasn’t been as bloody as it could’ve been…yet. There’s one question the dozens of Royals fans have been asking all season: when’s Alex Gordon going to start showing his amazing potential week after week?

American League West
Los Angeles Angels [53-35] 2.5 game division lead
-One of the more popular media picks to return to the Series, the Angels can ride that Vlad-guy and the major’s best bullpen deep into the playoff race. However,
Boston has always been their toughest out and Angels fans, much like last season, must be wondering: when are we going to trade some of our young prospects for a consistent power hitter?

Seattle Mariners [49-36] trail 2.5 games for division & 1.5 back for wild-card
-If the sub .500 Yankees are the biggest surprise of the season, the Mariners are 1b to that 1a. Even with Mike Hargrove’s sudden departure, the Mariners are 13 games over .500 and stand to benefit the most from any sort of falter from one of the two AL Central juggernauts. Yet, even Mariners fans have to be pinching themselves a little. Can they maintain the incredibly momentum, still ridiculously under the radar, and continue to shine into the bright lights of September?

Oakland Athletics [44-44] trail 9 games for division lead & 8 games back for the wild-card
-This is where they decide to just turn it on this season and snake their way into the wild-card race, right? Nope. They’re lacking any sort of major bat and it even appears as if Piazza may return to catch the ball (
Kendall has been downright pathetic at times). While the A’s have amazing pitching, it isn’t strong enough this season to overcome some of the worst power production in the AL. Not this season Bay Area fans.

Texas Rangers [38-50] banished from playoff contention
-With the
Texas heat ready to beat them down into submission, it’s not a question of if, but when they start dumping whatever they can to playoff contending teams. The real question is: what will they get back, if anything, for the likes of Texiera and their decent bullpen depth?

The NL gets it’s just-do tomorrow. However, we’re definitely ready to either hear some answers to these questions or to be posed a few of your own.

Whether your team is in or out as of yet; there’s still plenty of drama left in the American League over the next couple of months. That’s a guarantee.

Until next time…

Tuesday, July 10, 2007

All-Star Fever: Catch It?

With homefield-advantage in the World Series still on the line, the Yankees below .500, surging runs being made in Seattle & Milwaukee, Anaheim dominating the standings, the craziness of the NL West getting deeper and deeper, and our “old friend” friend Barry still chasing 755…the All-Star game, conveniently taking place in San Francisco this season, appears to have as much momentum as possible.

That is, until they announced the teams.

Remember, that it’s the fans – mainly through the Internet and voting at the ballparks themselves – who select 8 of the 9 starters for the game. [The starting pitcher is selected by the respective managers of the game, Jim Leyland of Detroit for the AL and Tony LaRussa of St. Louis for the NL. They also have a few extra selections they personally make.]

Note: It was recently announced that the AL will send out Oakland’s Dan Haren while the NL Jake Peavy of San Diego. Also, the Internet vote brought along San Diego pitcher Chris Young and Boston reliever Hideki Okajima.

Also remember that each MLB team must have at least one representative, regardless if those players have earned it or not. Tony Batista made an All-Star living off of this fact for a few seasons. Players are the ones, or so we are told, who vote on the majority of reserves.

So without further adieu, here are the All-Star starters for the AL and NL teams, respectively…

American League Starters
C – Ivan Rodriguez [Detroit]
1B – David Ortiz [
Boston]
2B – Placido Polanco [
Detroit]
SS – Derek Jeter [
New York]
3B – Alex Rodriguez [
New York]
OF – Vladimir Guerrero [
Anaheim]
OF – Ichiro Suzuki [
Seattle]
OF – Maglio Ordonez [
Detroit]

There’s no use critiquing who the fans should have picked. Most of the ballparks have their own techniques and tactics, shady or not, in aiding their players, for better or worse. Predicting how Internet users vote is beyond impossible as well.

What can be critiqued though is twofold:
1) Why on Earth each team needs to be represented? So for the argument for fairness and clarity, and not naively-based diplomatic equality, I’ll assume each teams DOES NOT NEED a representative throughout my critique of the squads.
2) Who the players and the manager chose. And keep in mind; I’m not thinking about whether I want a guy like Santana on the mound or Manny at the bat late in the game. Instead, I’m thinking about who deserved the right to be honored as an All-Star for their performance thus far for THIS CURRENT SEASON.
3) I hate the last-second “Internet Vote” and won’t speak of it again.
4) I’m not talking replacements for injuries either. It’s too clouded an issue to discuss.

Now that the legal stuff is out of the way…let’s roll!

American League Reserves
C – Jorge Posada [New York]
In/Out: The players definitely got it right here. Posada leads all AL catchers with a .333 batting average. If that isn’t enough alone, his defense has been absolutely superb and he’s tacked on 9 HRs, 45 RBIs, and an impressive 23 doubles (also leading AL catchers).

C – Victor Martinez [Cleveland]
In/Out: While Pudge’s defense wins out, the best hitting catcher in the AL Central is this Indian. Martinez is quietly hitting .323 with 14 home runs, 63 RBIs, and 20 doubles for the Indians. In fact, only he and Jorge are hitting above .300 at this point in the season. Another spot-on, deserving selection.

1B – Justin Morneau [Minnesota]
In/Out: First off, David Ortiz (the starter) is not a first basement. However, the game is in San Francisco, thus there is no DH. Morneau, last season’s AL MVP, is worthy of this spot, and perhaps the starting spot, though. While only hitting .280, he’s clubbed 20 homers, knocked in 61 runs, and his slugging and OPS percentages grade out quite highly. The only other first basement deserving of a spot, who was not even on the ballot, is Boston’s Kevin Youklis (.326, 9 HRs, 93 hits).

2B – Brian Roberts [Baltimore]
In/Out: Polanco is a no-brainer pick to start. However, Roberts has had a solid enough year to earn this spot (even if he was Baltimore’s only viable option). Roberts has rebounded this season to hit .326, 17 doubles, and steal 25 bases. His glove is more than worthy as well of this spot in the lineup.

SS – Michael Young [Texas]
In/Out: Yet another team-based selection, Young’s past All-Star game heroics must’ve made this an even easier pick for Leyland. Hitting .291, Young’s stats grade below those of fellow All-Stars Jeter & Guillen, the real travesty is that Anaheim’s Miguel Cabrera, hitting .342 with 110 hits and only 26 Ks, has been on an amazing tear lately and, as of now, isn’t heading to San Francisco.

SS – Carlos Guillen [Detroit]
In/Out: While not known to the majority of the public, Guillen is clearly the third best performing shortstop, currently as least, in the AL. He’s hitting an impressive .323, 12 homers, 59 runs batted in, and has avoided the strike out better than most at the position.

3B – Mike Lowell [Boston]
In/Out: We all know who the starter in the AL is and why, but you might not know that Mike Lowell is completely deserving of this selection. While he has cooled off as of late (as he did last year completely), Lowell is hitting .297 and has 12 homers and 55 RBIs. He was the top performing Red Sox hitter for the first 2 ½ months of the season and has delivered numerous clutch hits. His glove is always steady as well. There clearly isn’t a better option out of the AL to replace him.

OF – Carl Crawford [Tampa Bay]
In/Out: Whereas in years past Crawford may have earned his Devil Ray nomination, this year he doesn’t appear completely worthy of the all-star selection. Finally overcoming a horrific middle of May, Crawford is still only hitting .288 with only 22 runs batted in. However, his 8 triples are second for AL outfielders and he has managed to steal 20 bases. However, there are plenty of deserving names much higher on the list than Crawford (Anaheim’s Reggie Wilts being the primary culprit).

OF – Alex Rios [Toronto]
In/Out: The lone selection from Toronto, Rios’s power numbers seem to do the trick (17 homers, 20 doubles, 58 runs), but he also seems like a guy who should be replaced by Detroit’s ever-improving centerfielder Curtis Granderson (who’s 15 triples are an astounding statistic thus far). Must’ve been tough for Leyland not to see the young kid on the squad. Rios’s homerun derby was quite impressive though.

OF – Tori Hunter [Minnesota]
In/Out: If only so he can attempt to rob Bonds of another All-Star Game homerun, Hunter seems a clear cut pick this season. Tori has been performing at great levels the majority of the season (a walk one in his contract). Hunter’s .302 average stacks up nicely with 17 homers, 63 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases. Combine that with his gold glove fielding ability and you have a more than worthy All-Star reserve selection.

OF – Manny Ramirez [Boston]
In/Out: Sammy Sosa, Jack Cust, Matt Stairs, and even the putrid (this season) Jermaine Dye have more homers than Man Ram (11). We all know his glove is, at best, weak. However, his .280 average and 43 runs batted in (4th on his own team) were enough to apparently deserve the nod. While his plate ability may be the best in the American League, Manny has no right to accept this nomination. And for you Sox fans who want to hate on the Yankees, there isn’t a spot reserve for Mariano Rivera this season…as there was for Manny. Sloppy, indeed with this pathetic selection. Detroit’s Gary Sheffield is a head and toes better selection for the AL outfield.

OF – Grady Sizemore [Cleveland]
In/Out: I love the kid’s ability, but Sports Illustrated is out of its mind in projecting where this talented kid will stand in history. In fact, his numbers aren’t all that eye-popping this season either. He is a leadoff hitter; yet hitting .285 with 13 homers, 41 RBIs, 67 runs, and 23 stolen bases aren’t earth shattering. While the two aforementioned Tigers aren’t mortal locks when compared to Sizemore, I’m still on the fence with this selection. Or maybe just all the hype.

American League Pitchers
P – C.C. Sabathia [Cleveland]
In/Out: He’s obviously in and would be my selection for starter. The lefty is 12-2 with a 3.20 ERA on one of baseball’s best teams. His 116 strikeouts are nothing to dismiss either.

P – Josh Beckett [Boston]
In/Out: Just win baby. While Schilling gets all the glory and Dice K the majority of the media hype, Beckett is Boston’s best bet most days. After a so-so debut in Beantown, Beckett’s 11-2 mark, combined with a 3.38 ERA and 83 Ks, have shown he’s become a much more affective pitcher in the American League. He no longer relies on piling up strikeouts and his health has been much more consistent this season than in years before.

P – Dan Haren [Oakland]
In/Out: The clubhouse leader for the Cy Young, Haren’s microscopic 2.20 ERA tops all of baseball while his 10-2 record puts the Pepperdine graduate at the top of the young stud pitching staff out in Oakland.

P – John Lackey [Anaheim]
In/Out: Ugly jokes aside, Lackey is about as good as a front of the rotation fireballer as there is in all of baseball. He’s 11-5 with a 3.04 ERA and has several wins against the
AL’s best. An easy selection to say the least.

P – Johan Santana [Minnesota]
In/Out: Admittedly a second-half pitcher, Santana appears, at least at first, as a reputation based selection. Yet, it’s nearly impossible to dismiss his 2.76 ERA and 120 Ks. While he may be 9-6, he’s lost a ton of close games in which he pitched more than well enough to win. If you want to throw out a few snubs who have a legit beef, I’d start with perhaps Daisuke Matsuzaka of Boston front and center. [But I’d still take Santana in the end.] Detroit’s Jeremy Bonderman has the best case though, at 9-1 with enough Ks and an ERA under 3.50. So close…

P – Gil Meche [Kansas City]
In/Out: If you haven’t realized he’s the Royals pick by now, than you’re more out of the loop than Royal phenom Alex Gordon. His fat contract in the off-season astounded a few; yet, despite the Royals stinking as expected, Meche is only 5-6 and has a reputable 3.28 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. His 29 walks aren’t horrendous either, considering its Kansas City. There have been worse selections due to the team format. That’s for darn sure. Although losing out on Toronto’s Roy Halladay may really hurt the AL squad before the night ends.

P – Justin Verlander [Detroit]
In/Out: We all know about the no-hitter, but Verlander would be a worthy selection outside of it. He’s 9-3, 3.18 ERA, 90 Ks, and 1.17 WHIP are pretty phenomenal for last season’s rookie of the year. Enough said.

CP – JJ Putz [Seattle]
In/Out: Perhaps the best closer in all of baseball this season, Putz has 23 saves and a remarkable 0.92 ERA. I could go on and on, but Putz deserves to have the ball in his hand if the game is on the line. Oh yeah, he’s only given up 4, count em 4, earned runs. Twin pitchers Joe Nathan, and especially, Pat Neshek are fun choices...who will fall shorts due to the before relatively unknown Putz.

CP – Jonathan Papelbon [Boston]
In/Out: While not as super-fantastic as last season, Papelbon’s numbers stack up more than well enough to earn his spot. His 1.50 ERA is spot-on as usual and his 19 saves and 42 Ks and 10 BBs easily allow him to pass Cleveland’s Joe Borowski and Detroit’s Todd Jones. Ditto for Okajima, despite an amazing season, as he is the #2 reliever from a talented Boston bullpen.

CP – Francisco Rodriguez [Anaheim]
In/Out: If Putz is 1A, consider K-Rod to be 1-B. His 24 saves are tied for the lead in the AL, his 2.27 ERA is impressive, and he leads all AL closers with 49 Ks. He’s seen 35 innings and onl surrendered 9 earned runs. This guy is all but an automatic selection as of late.

CP – Bobby Jenks [Chicago]
In/Out: Easily the only White Sox player, pitcher or batter, worthy of the selection, Jenks has 22 saves a 2.76 ERA and a 3-1 ratio of Ks to BBs. However, it would be interesting to consider, that without team’s needed a spot each, if Tampa’s Al Reyes matches up better (17 saves and a 3.06 ERA), especially considering his team, than that of Jenks. Perhaps Crawford vs. Reyes was the Tampa Bay argument.

Since we enjoyed our critique of the AL All-Star squad so much, I figured we’d give the senior circuit, aka the NL, its go-round as well. It’s only fair.

National League Starters
C – Russel Martin [Los Angeles]
1B – Prince Fielder [
Milwaukee]
2B – Chase Utley [
Philadelphia]
SS – Jose Reyes [
New York]
3B – David Wright [
New York]
OF – Carlos Beltran [
New York]
OF – Barry Bonds [
San Francisco]
OF – Ken Griffey Jr. [
Cincinnati]

National League Reserves
C – Brian McCann [Atlanta]
In/Out: Props to voters for making the easy selection for Russell Martin (who has 15 stolen bases as a catcher!). As for his reserve, McCann [.261, 7 homers, 41 RBIs, 38 Ks] seems to stack up quite poorly to San Francisco’s own Bengie Molina [.289, 8 homers, 44 RBIs, and 28 Ks]. While McCann has walked 20 times, compared to Molina’s 8, I can’t agree with this selection.

1B – Derek Lee [Chicago]
In/Out: While his .346 average is ridiculous to look past, I’m glad Prince Fielder was chosen as the starter. Lee, whose homers are only at 6, does everything ridiculously well…especially fielding and getting hits. He’s an easy pick and an easier play for LaRussa.

1B – Albert Pujols [St. Louis]
In/Out: A little under the radar at times this season, Pujols is quietly putting together another rock solid season (.307, 16 homers, 49 RBIs, 16 2Bs). While some people might be calling for Colorado’s comeback kid Todd Helton or San Diego’s power-guy Adrian Gonzalez, I won’t kick and scream over Pujols’s inclusion. I would have for Ryan Howard though, recent tear or not (he’s hitting .248).

1B – Dmitri Young [Washington]
In/Out: A definite feel-good story for the season, Young is clearly the top Nat deserving to make the trip across the country. While his 7 homers and 37 RBIs seem pedestrian, remember who he plays for. Also realize he’s hitting a phenomenal .340 and slugging mere fractions o a point below Derek Lee and Howard. I won’t even try and argue with his inclusion, team-based merit or not.

2B – Orlando Hudson [Arizona]
In/Out: Utley was another easy starter to peg; yet, his two backups might’ve even been easier. First up, Hudson has hit over .300 all season, worked plenty of walks (45), been solid in the field, and only seems to suffer in scoring runs.

2B – Freddy Sanchez [Pittsburgh]
In/Out: Next up, the lone Pirate to join the squad, Sanchez also has impressive numbers at his position. Okay, so his 1 homerun and 28 runs batted in won’t blow you away. But he strikes out a lot less often than any other NL second basement (34 Ks) and is hitting .301. Pile that on with 17 doubles and 10 games less played, and he is the only Pirate I’ll even consider. Although one may argue that Brandon Phillips of Cincy has enough power to overcome other statistical defects. No-go on an argument for Jeff Kent, Dan Uggla, or Craig Biggio though.

SS – J.J. Hardy [Milwaukee]
In/Out: A firecracker early in the year, Hardy is clearly guilty of riding that momentum into this selection. Despite his NL leading, at short, 18 homers and 51 runs batted in, Hardy isn’t a better selection than Atlanta’s Edgar Renteria (who’s hitting the casing off of the ball) or maybe even Florida’s Henlay Ramirez (despite less than 30 RBIs). There, I said it. Sorry Jimmy Rollins, but you just miss the cut bro.

3B – Miguel Cabrera [Florida]
In/Out: Please put down that extra serving at dessert, big guy. While David Wright gets all the pub, here’s the first NL-case where a clear-cut mistake was made by voters (shocker, I know). Cabrera is smacking the ball all over the place while batting .329 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 31 BBs, and closing in on 100 hits. A no-brainer selection, to say the very least.

OF – Matt Holliday [Colorado]
In/Out: You may have never heard of Holliday, but you better believe he’s as sure of a bet as any to be an All-Star. Just check out his performance: .349 batting average (34 points higher than any other NL outfielder), 13 homers, 62 RBIs, and 11 more hits/5 more doubles than any other NL outfielder. Honestly, he’s a top 5 MVP candidate in the National League. Yeah, I said it.

OF – Carlos Lee [Houston]
In/Out: Okay, so let’s talk Barry Bonds before Lee. Bonds is hitting .304 now, with 16 homers, 40 RBIs, and even 5 stolen bases. What really sticks out though? His 84 walks. Pat Burrell is next…at 56. His 32 Ks are lowest among most reputable players in all of baseball (Adam Dunn has 99, by the way). Bonds is also at an OPS of 1.119. Next up? Mr. Holliday at .975. Barry should be in. As for that Lee-guy…yeah, him too. Despite Houston living in the basement, Lee is still hitting .293 with 15 homers, 68 RBIs, and has played better than most expected him to in the field. The only Astro worthy of All-Star merit, Lee hasn’t disappointed nearly as much as Biggio (who did get to 3,000) and Fat Elvis (aka Lance Berkman). I can live with this selection, I suppose.

OF – Aaron Rowand [Philadelphia]
In/Out: Always remembered for that amazing broken-nose catch, Rowand is now a legit All-Star player. Hitting .312, Rowand has excelled on the base passes and in the field. He’s nearing 100 hits, 20 doubles, and even has 11 homers and 42 runs batted in. He may even slug over .500 and push an OPS near the .900s. Yeah, count him in too.

OF – Alfonso Soriano [Chicag0]
In/Out: After the majority of April, this selection seemed to be a joke. One of two Cubbies on the squad, Soriano is climbing into the middle of the home run pack with 15. However, his 30 RBIs and 10 steals are far from extraordinary. Ditto with batting .304 and his 53 runs. Take away two or three big games (especially a Friday night against the Braves), and you really have to doubt this nomination. Why? How about Arizona’s Eric Byrnes (.315, 13 homers, 46 RBIs, 15 steals, and 105 hits). Or maybe Cincinnati’s Adam Dunn’s .263 average and 99 Ks can be forgotten due to his 23 homers and massive slugging/OPS percentages. The real thief is Carlos Beltran’; especially in the case for another Colorado outfielder Brad Hawpe (.296, 13 homers, 55 RBIs, 39 runs, .905 slugging percentage). Call me a softy, but the first timer would be a welcome addition to the NL All-Star outfield. If only…

National League Pitchers
P – Cole Hamels [Philadelphia]
In/Out: The young fireballer is the best thing going in Philly these days. Despite pitching in a hitter’s park, Hamels is sporting an impressive 10-4 record with a 3.72 ERA and 124 K/29 BB ratio. He throws lefty and is one of the up-and-coming aces in baseball. Of course he’s in.

P – Jake Peavy [San Diego]
In/Out: Edging out last year’s starter, Penny, to get the ball first this season, Peavy has been as good as it gets in baseball this season. Despite a recent hiccup or two, he’s still 9-3, sporting a 2.19 ERA, and his 125 Ks put him near the leaderboard (as usual, for him). The American-born fireballer seems to be getting better and better every year. He’s a regular All-Star shoe-in these days.

P – Brad Penny [Los Angeles]
In/Out: Perhaps only because he started last year, Penny didn’t get the ball first this year. However, he seems, at least to me, the NL’s most deserving recipient. Why is that you ask? Despite injury after injury to their starting rotation, Penny has carried the Dodgers on his back to the dogfight at the top of the standings in the NL West. While his 82 Ks are 2-3 a game behind some of the other NL fireballers, it’s nearly impossible to match his 10-1 record and 1.19 WHIP.

P – Ben Sheets [Milwaukee]
In/Out: The Ks aren’t over the century mark yet; however, Sheets is putting together his most impressive first-half of his career. The Brewers are in the first place and their ace should be in
San Francisco this Tuesday night.

P – John Smoltz [Atlanta]
In/Out: On the DL (and improperly replaced by Roy Oswalt, mind you), Smoltz is having another banner year in
Atlanta. Getting better with age, he’s 9-5 with a 3.07 ERA and plenty of big-time performances against top teams this season. It’ll feel real weird to not see Smoltz on an All-Star team. Fortunately, we won’t have to deal with that problem this season.

CP – Brian Fuentes [Colorado]
In/Out: I might’ve lost my mind if Chris Young has lost out on his spot in the game (okay, the fans did vote him in, I said it), because Fuentes is the weakest link in the NL rotation. To be honest, the pick is somewhat of a head scratcher. While a highly successful reliever, in
Colorado of all places, Fuentes is 0-4 and his ERA of 4.06 isn’t close to perfection. He does have a 3-1 K/BB ratio (and 20 saves), but I still doubt this pick a little. While a reliever was needed, I wonder if New York’s John Maine might’ve been a better selection. Even if he is a starter.

CP – Francisco Cordero [Milwaukee]
In/Out: Let’s not kid ourselves, he was a lock after April. A 2.8 ERA and an NL-best 27 saves. Not to mention he’s probably going to strike out over 100 guys this season. No brainer. Next?

CP – Trevor Hoffman [San Diego]
In/Out: I’m going to just let his name and his performance this season speak for itself. Next?

CP – Takashi Saito [Los Angeles]
In/Out: You may not have heard of him yet; but trust me…you will. Eric Gagne is a thing of the distant past in LaLa land as Saito has an anemic 1.47 ERA and 23 saves. What is even more striking? How about 47 Ks to 4 walks. Yeah, only 4 walks. Next?

CP – Bill Wagner [New York]
In/Out: Under the radar a bit, Wagner’s ERA is sub-2 and he’s only blown a handful of games. He’ll close in on 20 within a week after the All-Star game and is likely the back-end of the NL East’s eventual champs. The fall-off occurs after Wagner/Fuentes, so Billy the Kid is a deserving selection.

CP – Jose Valverde [Arizona]
In/Out: You could see this type of effort coming the last two seasons. Valverde’s got 26 saves, while still unknown to even some baseball experts, and is perhaps the next young Dominican pitcher who just throws gas. He might see the ball in the 8th inning against some huge
AL bats. I can’t wait to see how the young kid performs.

(Deep breaths) And there you have it. The All-Star team analysis is finally complete. That is, unless you feel somebody else was snubbed. And of course, who wouldn’t?

Until next time…

Sunday, July 08, 2007

The Changing Shape of the NBA

From year to year, there are subtle changes that take place that add wrinkles to the game of basketball as we know it. In the 1980s, the three-point shot revolutionized or ruined the game depending on whom you ask. In the late ‘80s and very early ‘90s, Detroit’s “Bad Boys” emphasized defense and ultra-physical play. With this, the emphasis shifted from the glory days of “Showtime” of the ‘80s Lakers to a bogged-down style in which coaches preached defense at the expense of aesthetically beautiful basketball.

Organizations drafted size over talent with regularity, which signified a defined overvaluation of project centers and power forwards. The rationale for this trend is that every championship team in recent memory excluding Jordan’s Bulls had a dominating center who anchors the paint. Below is a list of first-round picks since 1996 on project bigs that have gone wildly wrong. In certain cases, I have listed players selected after the project bigs (busts) who have become franchise players, all-stars or starters.

1996
Vitaly Potapenko: 12th overall – Kobe Bryant at 13, Peja Stojakovic at 14, Steve Nash at 15, Jermaine O’Neal at 17
Martin Muursepp: 25th overall
Priest Lauderdale: 28th overall

1997
Adonal Foyle: 8th overall
Chris Anstey: 18th overall

1998
Michael Olowokandi: 1st overall
Vladimir Stepania: 27th overall

1999
Alek Redojevic: 12th overall –Corey Maggette at 13, Ron Artest at 16, Andrei Kirilenko at 24, Manu Ginobili at 57
Frederic Weis: 15th overall
Cal Bowdler: 17th overall

2000
Jerome Moiso: 11th overall
Dalibor Bagaric Benston: 24th overall
Jake Tsakalidis: 25th overall
Mamadou N’diaye: 26th overall

2001
Michael Bradley: 17th overall – Zach Randolph at 19, Gerald Wallace at 25, Samuel Dalembert at 26, Jamaal Tinsley at 27, Tony Parker at 28, Gilbert Arenas at 30

2002
Nickoloz Tskitishvili: 5th overall – Nene Hilario at 7, Amare Stoudemire at 9, Caron Butler at 10
Curtis Borchardt: 18th overall – Tayshaun Prince at 23, Nenad Krstic at 24, Carlos Boozer at 35

2003
Zarko Cabarkarpa: 17th overall– Boris Diaw at 21, Leandro Barbosa at 28, Josh Howard at 29, Mo Williams at 47

2004
Rafael Araujo: 8th overall – Andre Iguodala at 9, Al Jefferson at 15, Josh Smith at 17, Kevin Martin at 26
Robert Swift: 12th overall
Pavel Podkolzine: 21st overall

However, this trend began changing in 2005 when 7-footers who used to be 1st-round selections and be given guaranteed money were now second-round selections. Were the lottery busts of Tskitishvili and Araujo the last straw for many NBA general managers (GMs)? Probably not. Starting in 2005, league GMs began veering away from using high selections on players who are likely flagged as project-type bigs. Of course, there exists a caveat that some organizations, like the Seattle Supersonics, enjoy drafting project bigs (e.g. Robert Swift – 2004, Johan Petro – 2005, Saer Sene – 2006) in order to fill their bench.

In 2005, high school star Andrew Bynum was selected 10th by the Los AngelesLakers in what was considered a reach by a number of experts. Meanwhile, other project bigs, such as Martynas Andriuskevicius and Andray Blatche, garnered first-round consideration prior to the draft, but were selected 44th and 49th, respectively.

In 2006, three project centers – Patrick O’Bryant, Saer Sene and Hilton Armstrong – were selected in the lottery portion of the first round. However, it was clear to the GMs selecting after the lottery portion of a relatively weak draft that reaching for a big would not be the way to go. In fact, no centers were drafted between picks 13 and 33 – a far-cry from even five years ago.

Thus, the paradigm shift amplified to new degrees as NBA teams continued to stockpile their roster with smaller, skilled players who are quick and have a long wingspan.

In this year’s edition of the draft, the strongest since 2003, it was a no-brainer that the first ten picks would be dominated by a host of established forwards and centers with high upside. What many, including myself, did not expect was the neglect for size unless it was a position of absolute need. Just ask Tiago Splitter, Josh McRoberts and Glen Davis. All three slipped considerably further than most mock drafts and experts had projected and only Tiago (who was a large buyout) was drafted in the 1st round.

A further example of the league’s changing shape is what transpired in the second round of this year’s draft. Unheralded guards Adam Haluska and Jared Jordan were selected prior to two well-known 7-footers, Marc Gasol and Aaron Gray. On its face, most people would say, “So what?” Nowadays, it’s not just the Phoenix Suns (and now, the Memphis Grizzlies) who are espousing the run n’ gun style of ball which requires quicker, more skilled personnel. Organizations are no longer pacified by drafting overvalued space-eaters who struggle with running the floor and will now reach for shooting specialists (Haluska) and disciplined distributors (Jordan).

While you may not see it now because the real games have not begun yet, the shape of the NBA is changing.

It’s smaller with three guard lineups which used to be shunned.

It’s quicker with a frenetic pace that only slows down when veteran teams are strategizing and pacing themselves.

It’s more skilled with four to five players on each team being able to dribble, drive and kick.

It’s longer with taller energy guys who replace skill-deficient big men that simply take up space and are unable to take the measures necessary to make hustle plays.

After 48 minutes, you can be guaranteed that this paradigm shift taking shape as we speak in the Association will ultimately result in a stronger game, both fundamentally and aesthetically.

Thursday, July 05, 2007

Early Free Agency and Post Draft Trades

The free agency season has begun and rumors are abound. Word is also circulating about the ridiculous contracts being signed by mediocre players. Here are the most discussed signings to-date as well as post-draft night trades that have taken place.

Big Signings Thus Far
Orlando signs Rashard Lewis to a contract lasting 5 years and costing a meager $75M. Orlando gets a star sidekick for Dwight Howard, but I doubt that Lewis is a max player. Though he's in the weaker Eastern Conference now, Lewis has never had to be the man. He's also struggled with longevity. Furthermore, the max contract signifies that the Magic had to withdraw their offer on the table for Darko Milicic.

Chauncey Billups is staying in Detroit. He agreed to a 5-year deal worth $60M. Sources say that it's essentially a 4-year, $46M deal, with the fifth being a team option. Detroit absolutely needed this news after the debacle that transpired at the Eastern Conference Finals versus the LeBrons.

New Jersey is expected to re-sign Vince Carter to a 4-year, $61M contract with a team option to follow. VC is going to produce, but how is that production going to be affected if and when Jason Kidd is no longer a member of the Nets?

Toronto inks Jason Kapono to 4-year, $24M deal. An average of $6M per year to a shooting specialist whose a lackluster defender and has plenty of mileage dating back to his 9 years at UCLA. A cheaper option could be found somewhere and the Raptors have no one like DWade who can draw double teams and kick with great effectiveness.

Charlotte re-signs Matt Carroll to a $27M contract over six years. Quite a pricy deal for a player who will provide depth at the 2-guard position behind Jason Richardson. However, the palatable contract allows for Charlotte to move Carroll in order to address needs on the frontline. This begs the question: Why not address needs on the frontline directly?

Post Draft Night Trades
Seattle trades PF Carl Landry (#31 overall) to Houston for future second rounder and cash. Houston's draft finally makes some sense, because they get their hands on a big forward who can immediately contribute.

Philadelphia trades PF/C Kyrylo Fesenko (#38 overall) to Utah for PF Herbert Hill (#55 overall). I assume there are other incentives for the 76ers, but it seems that the Jazz are content to swap instant gratification for molding a potential stud.

Orlando sends SF Reyshawn Terry (#44 overall) to Dallas for C Milovan Rakovic (#60 overall). For Orlando, the free agent signing of Rashard Lewis makes Terry expendable and Dallas is a definite buyer because they did not address the small forward need at the draft.

New York obtains the rights to SF Demetrius Nichols (#53 overall) from Portland for the Knicks' 2008 second-round pick. Nichols slipped to #53 in a deep draft, so this is good value for the Knicks. I'm surprised that they didn't go after Taurean Green instead.

San Antonio trades the rights to Giorgos Printezis (#58 overall) to Toronto for a 2008 second-round pick. This is not surprising at all given Toronto's affinity for international players.

Other News
Gerald Wallace, who opted out of his last year with Charlotte, is trying to command $10M per year in a multi-year deal. As many people more intelligent than me have indicated, signing a pure athlete to such a deal may have some serious downside towards the tail end of the contract.

Juan Carlos Navarro, whose rights belong to the Washington Wizards, has reached an agreement with FC Barcelona that will allow him to venture into the Association.

Fellow Spaniard Fran Vasquez, who's loved in Orlando, wants to honor his contract with Barcelona.

PJ Carlesimo will be named head coach of the Seattle Supersonics.